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  • 12 & 13 February 2026 - FIAP, 30 Rue Cabanis, 75014 Paris

    Land Use Policies for Climate Change

    This workshop aims to present recent advances in the literature on the challenges of implementing land-based mitigation measures. It will focus on key issues related to land use policies for climate change, including the design and scope of financing schemes, justice and equity, and adverse consequences such as leakage, spillover, and rebound effects. Land-based mitigation measures are among the most critical options currently available for addressing climate change (IPCC, 2022). By enabling carbon dioxide removal (CDR) through restoration and conservation, these measures are particularly crucial to pathways that limit global warming to 1.5°C, where their rapid deployment within the Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector is indispensable. Between 2020 and 2050, forests and other natural ecosystems are expected to provide the largest share of the economic AFOLU mitigation potential (IPCC, 2019; Roe et al., 2021). However, realizing this potential faces substantial hurdles. In both the scientific literature and policy implementation experience, three persistent barriers have been identified as major obstacles to effective land-based mitigation: leakage, spillover, and rebound effects (Murray et al., 2004; Stevenson et al., 2013; Ingalls et al. ,2018; Meyfroidt et al., 2020).

     

    • Spillover refers to the process by which land-use changes or direct interventions in one location—such as new policies, programs, or technologies—affect land use elsewhere, often in unforeseen ways.

     

    • Leakage is a specific form of spillover caused by environmental policies (e.g. conservation or restoration) that unintentionally displace pressure to other locations, thereby reducing the net effectiveness of the intervention.

     

    • Rebound effects occur when efficiency gains in resource use lead to increased overall demand or use, diminishing the expected environmental benefits.

     

    Scientific organizers: Thierry Brunelle (Cirad, Cired), Raja Chakir (Inrae, PSAE)

    Logistic organizers: Yasmine Badrane (LSCE),  Fatim Hankard (LSCE)

     

    👉  Registration is available here.

     

     

    Agenda

    Thursday, 12 February: 9:00 – 09:30

    Registration and welcome coffee

    Thursday, 12 February: 09:30 – 10:00

    Opening : Thierry Brunelle (CIRAD) & Raja Chakir (PSAE): Introduction and output from CLand on LUPCC

    Thursday, 12 February: 10:00 – 11:10

    Session 1: Indirect land use change (Format: 25 min pres + 10 min Q&A)

    • 10:00 – 10:35: Nelson Villoria (Kansas State University): Export Competitiveness Effects of U.S. Ethanol Mandates: An Ex-Post Assessment
    • 10:35 – 11:10: Valentin Guye (INRAE, CEEM): Cocoa expansion, food crop displacement, and forest loss in Ghana’s protected areas

    Session chair: Guy Meunier (Psae)

    Thursday, 12 February: 11:10 – 11:40

    Coffee break

    Thursday, 12 February: 11:40 – 12:50

    Session 2: Land use and adaptation (Format: 25 min pres + 10 min Q&A)

    • 11:40 – 12:15: Florian Grosset-Touba (CREST, ENSAE), Rain Follows the Forest: Land Use Policy, Climate Change, and Adaptation
    • 12:15 – 12:50: Édouard Pignède (IRD, Université Paris-Saclay), Climate Change, Adaptation, and Mortality

    SESSION CHAIR: Raïa-Silvia Massad (Ecosys)

    Thursday, 12 February: 12:50 – 14:00

    Lunch

    Thursday, 12 February: 14:00 – 16:00

    Session 3: Roundtable: Policy instruments and financing (Format: 15 min per expert (common guiding question) + public Q&A via online application)

    • 14:00 – 14:10: Introduction: guiding question and Q&A modalities
    • 14:10–15:10 — Expert interventions

    Hugo Valin (OECD)

    Johannes Svensson (BC3 & IDDRI)

    Aline Mosnier (Scientific Director, FABLE Consortium)

    Benoit Faivre-Dupaigre (AFD)

    • 15:10 – 16:00: Discussion with the audience

    SESSION CHAIRS: Thierry Brunelle (CIRED) & Raja Chakir (PSAE)

    Thursday, 12 February: 16:00 – 16:20

    Coffee break

    Thursday, 12 February: 16:20 – 17:30

    Session 4: Sustainable land systems (Format: 25 min pres + 10 min Q&A)

    • 16:20 – 16:55: Rachael Garrett (University of Cambridge), The impact of supply chain policies is undermined by leakage
    • 16:55 – 17:30: Rémi Prudhomme (CIRAD, UMR CIRED), A Global Agroecological Scenario to Stay Within a Safe Agricultural Space for Biodiversity

    SESSION CHAIR: Raja Chakir (PSAE)

    Thursday, 12 February: 19:30 – 21:30

    Gala dinner

    Friday, 13 February: 9:00 – 10:45

    Session 5: Land use, forests, and carbon (Format: 25 min pres + 10 min Q&A)

    • 09:00 – 09:35: Philippe Delacôte (INRAE, BETA), Collaborative Management Partnerships Strongly Decreased Deforestation in the Most At-Risk Protected Areas in Africa Since 2000
    • 9:35 – 10:10: Ryan Abman (San Diego State University), Agricultural Productivity and Deforestation
    • 10:10 – 10:45: Alice Favero (RTI International), Modeling the Global Potential and Costs of Forest Carbon Sequestration Using Dynamic Economic Analysis

    SESSION CHAIR: BASAK BAYRAMOGLU (PSAE)

    Friday, 13 February: 10:45 – 11:15

    Coffee break

    Friday, 13 February: 11:15 – 11:50

    Session 6: Structural Change, Land Use, and International Climate Coordination (25 min pres + 10 min Q&A)

    • 11h15 – 11h50: Nicolas Coeurdacier (Sciences Po): The Structural Transformation of Land and the Carbon Balance, joint with Cecile Gaubert (UC Berkeley) & Emeric Henry (SciencesPo)
    • 11h50 – 12h25: Bertille Daran (psae): Can Agricultural Trade Integration Promote InternationalClimate Cooperation?

    Session CHAIR: Thierry brunelle (CIRAD)

    Friday, 13 February: 12:25 – 14:00

    LUNCH